Macro drivers · the topics that explain today's lean, their weight, and how the weights moved

Today

30% US tech sold (↑ from 23% yesterday)
hurts NAS100 GER40 · z -2.12
27% Fear fading (VIX down) (↓ from 48% yesterday)
helps NAS100 GER40 USDJPY hurts XAUUSD · z -1.04
15% Europe stocks down (↑ from 6% yesterday)
hurts GER40 · z -1.44
11% Chips weak (↑ from 8% yesterday)
hurts NAS100 · z -1.41
5% Metals bid (↑ from 2% yesterday)
helps XAUUSD · z 0.55
Weight = share of all driver pull across the four instruments. A topic needs at least half a sigma of movement to appear.

Per instrument · current driver scores

instrumentleandrivers (contribution · z)
NAS100-20 megacaps -30 · z -0.76 semis -56 · z -1.405 yields -8 · z 0.194 vix +42 · z -1.039
XAUUSD-7 dxy -12 · z 0.295 silver +22 · z 0.551 vix -42 · z -1.039 yields -8 · z 0.194
GER40-37 ustech -85 · z -2.12 eurostoxx -58 · z -1.441 vix +42 · z -1.039
USDJPY+10 us10y +8 · z 0.194 nikkei -15 · z -0.368 vix +42 · z -1.039 dxy +12 · z 0.295

Weight history · last 14 days

dayUS tech soldFear fading (VIX down)Europe stocks downChips weakMetals bidJapan stocks upDollar weakerUS yields falling
2026-10-1930%27%15%11%5%···
2026-10-1823%49%7%8%·5%··
2026-10-1723%48%6%8%·4%5%·
2026-10-1621%44%·7%·13%7%·
2026-10-15··5%·12%·20%50%
2026-10-1418%30%·8%16%·6%11%
2026-10-13··13%·14%·32%·
2026-10-1214%·20%13%··28%·
2026-10-11·33%24%·10%···
2026-10-10·28%20%·20%···
2026-10-09·23%19%·21%9%··
2026-10-0820%·23%10%·4%·27%
2026-10-07··14%·15%9%37%·
2026-10-06·18%··8%14%17%31%
Labels are the topic's direction on its own day ("US yields falling" vs "rising"); the column header shows the most recent wording. Green = the series rose that day, red = fell.
Prep only. Every number traces to a stored input. The desk never trades.